Two decks, one draw a turn, and you choose where it comes from. Pick the spellbook or the atlas and see how likely a card is after your opening hand and each draw from that deck.
Opening hand: 19.0% to have at least 1 of 4 copies.
| After | Cards seen | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Opening hand | 3 | 19.0% |
| 1 draw | 4 | 24.7% |
| 2 draws | 5 | 30.1% |
| 3 draws | 6 | 35.1% |
| 4 draws | 7 | 39.9% |
| 5 draws | 8 | 44.5% |
| 6 draws | 9 | 48.8% |
| 7 draws | 10 | 52.8% |
| 8 draws | 11 | 56.6% |
Before any mulligan. Counts draws from this deck: you choose which deck to draw from each turn.
This is an early version of the draw odds calculator, and more is on the way. Tell us what you want it to answer.
Asking about real cards or a scenario, such as at least four defence reactions and no blues in your opening hand? Load a deck above, or open the calculator in the Sorcery: Contested Realm deck builder: every stat and any set of cards in your list can be a condition there, up to four at once.
You open with three cards from your atlas and three from your spellbook. At the start of each turn you draw one card from whichever deck you like, and the player going first skips that draw on their first turn.
Because you choose the deck every turn, these odds count draws from one deck rather than turns: "after 2 draws" means two cards taken from the deck you picked, on top of the three you opened with.
Elemental threshold is a total, not a count: a site with two water symbols gives two water affinity. Load your deck in the Gradely deck builder to see how often your sites reach the threshold your spells need.
Rules reference: Sorcery: Contested Realm Rulebook (2024), Setup (3 cards from the atlas and 3 from the spellbook) and Start Phase step 4 (draw from either deck; the first player skips it on turn 1).
At least 30 in a constructed deck. Put the number of sites that give the element you need in as copies, then check how many draws from the atlas you have to make.
Not per deck. The first player skips one draw on their first turn, so they are a draw behind, but after any number of draws from a deck the odds are the same.
You choose which deck to draw from each turn, so a turn number cannot say how many cards you have seen from either deck. Counting draws from the deck you picked is exact.
Game rules change from time to time, and we update this page when they do. If something here looks out of date or wrong, please let us know.